FACT BRIEF

Did Nikki Haley lead Joe Biden in polls for the 2024 presidential race after the first GOP debate?

Friday, September 29, 2023

By Tom Kertscher

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YES

National polls show that, in a hypothetical matchup for the 2024 presidential election, Nikki Haley was favored over President Joe Biden by 2 to 6 percentage points.

Haley, 51, is a candidate for the Republican nomination. She is a former U.N. ambassador and former South Carolina governor.

During a Sept. 26, 2023, interview in Madison, former U.S. House Speaker Paul Ryan, a Wisconsin Republican, said that a week after the first Republican presidential debate, Haley surpassed Biden in the polls.

The first debate was Aug. 23 in Milwaukee.

Here are the polls, the dates the polling was done and the results:

NBC News, Sept. 15-19: Haley led Biden 46% to 41% among registered voters.

Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll, Sept. 12-14: Haley led 41% to 37% (registered voters).

Fox News, Sept. 9-12: Haley led 45% to 43% (registered voters).

CNN, Aug. 25-31: Haley led 49% to 43% among adults 18 and over.

This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.

Sources

WKOW 27 NEWS Paul Ryan on the 2024 presidential election

NBC News Poll: Overwhelming majorities express concerns about Biden, Trump ahead of 2024 race

The Hill Biden trails Trump, Haley, Scott in 2024 race: poll

Fox News Poll 47. How would you vote if the candidates were:

DocumentCloud CNN poll

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