Tuesday, Oct. 18, 2022
Is Nevada becoming a red state?
Nevada remains a purple state, somewhere between red (Republican) and blue (Democratic).
Over the last decade, the share of active Democratic and Republican voters has trended downward while the share of non-partisan voters has trended upward. Among active voters as of September 2022, Nevada has 592,903 (32.9%) Democrats, 542,761 (30.1%) Republicans, 530,893 (29.4%) nonpartisan and 137,366 with other party affiliations. It would require a significant change in voter registration trends for Nevada to be considered a safe red or blue state.
As recently as 2019, all of Nevada’s six statewide elected officers were Republicans. Currently, all but one are Democrats. Of Nevada’s six members of Congress, five are Democrats and one Republican. However, the two highest-profile election contests this year – governor and U.S. Senate– are both considered toss-ups.
This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.
Sources
- Nevada Secretary of State Voter Registration Statistics
- Govtrack Nevada Senators, Representatives, and Congressional District Maps
- FiveThirtyEight 2022 Senate Election Forecast
- FiveThirtyEight 2022 Governors Forecast
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