Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022
Has Wisconsin been a swing state for more than a half-century?
Wisconsin has been a swing state — where voters waver between electing Republicans and Democrats — since at least the mid-20th century, according to experts.
Republicans and Democrats began their intense competition in the state in the 1950s and 1960s, once the Democrats became a prominent force in presidential and gubernatorial elections. However, even in the late 1800s, there were close two-party races, according to University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee history professor Jonathan Kasparek.
In the 21st century, the state has become even more contested, with three presidential elections decided by less than a single percentage point—something unseen before 2000.
Experts believe one of the main factors that has been driving Wisconsin's partisanship is the somewhat even division of the state's population between small towns and cities, which have had opposing trends in partisanship towards the right and left — respectively — since the mid-20th century.
This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.
Sources
- Wisconsin Public Radio How long has Wisconsin been a swing state?
- Google Books Presidential Swing States
- WisContext The political geography of Wisconsin: Partisanship and population density
About fact briefs
Fact briefs are bite-sized, well-sourced explanations that offer clear "yes" or "no" answers to questions, confusions, and unsupported claims circulating online. They rely on publicly available data and documents, often from the original source. Fact briefs are written and published by Gigafact contributor publications.
See all fact briefs
Wisconsin Watch, the news arm of the nonpartisan, nonprofit Wisconsin Center for Investigative Journalism, increases the quality and quantity of investigative reporting in Wisconsin, while training current and future investigative journalists. Its work fosters an informed citizenry and strengthens democracy.
Learn MoreLatest Fact Briefs
Was a World Trade Center building destroyed on 9/11 by ‘controlled demolition’?
Wednesday, Apr. 23, 2025
Does Canada impose 200% tariffs on US dairy products?
Wednesday, Apr. 23, 2025
Did billionaire George Soros spend $100 million on the 2025 Wisconsin Supreme Court race?
Thursday, Apr. 3, 2025