Did the youth vote swing the Arizona governor's race in favor of Democrat Katie Hobbs?
In Arizona, the youth vote provided a net of 60,000 votes toward Democratic nominee Katie Hobbs over Republican nominee Kari Lake in the state's gubernatorial race, according to CIRCLE, a non-partisan, independent research organization based at Tufts University "focused on youth civic engagement in the U.S."
As of Nov. 17, 2022, the margin between Hobbs and Lake was around 17,000 votes — less than a third of the youth vote's electoral impact.
CIRCLE found that 27% of young people (ages 18-29) turned out for the 2022 election — the second highest rate in 30 years behind the 2018 midterms. In battleground states, the turnout rate was higher at 31%, tying the rate of 2018.
Young voters in Nevada, Georgia, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania also gave Democratic candidates a winning advantage in close races, according to CIRCLE.