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FACT BRIEF

Did the youth vote swing the Arizona governor's race in favor of Democrat Katie Hobbs?

By Austin Tannenbaum
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YES

In Arizona, the youth vote provided a net of 60,000 votes toward Democratic nominee Katie Hobbs over Republican nominee Kari Lake in the state's gubernatorial race, according to CIRCLE, a non-partisan, independent research organization based at Tufts University "focused on youth civic engagement in the U.S."

As of Nov. 17, 2022, the margin between Hobbs and Lake was around 17,000 votes — less than a third of the youth vote's electoral impact.

CIRCLE found that 27% of young people (ages 18-29) turned out for the 2022 election — the second highest rate in 30 years behind the 2018 midterms. In battleground states, the turnout rate was higher at 31%, tying the rate of 2018.

Young voters in Nevada, Georgia, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania also gave Democratic candidates a winning advantage in close races, according to CIRCLE.

This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.
Sources
Tufts Young Voters Decided Georgia and Nevada Senate Races, Shaped Results
Internet Archive Arizona Governor Election Results
Tufts Millions of Youth Cast Ballots, Decide Key 2022 Races
ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTOR
Arizona Center for Investigative Reporting
The Arizona Center for Investigative Reporting is the state’s only independent, nonpartisan and collaborative nonprofit newsroom dedicated to statewide, data-driven investigative reporting. AZCIR's mission is to hold powerful people and institutions accountable by exposing injustice and systemic inequities through investigative journalism.
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Fact briefs are short, credibly sourced summaries that offer “yes/no” answers in response to claims found online. They rely on publicly available, often primary source data and documents. Fact briefs are created by contributors to Gigafact —a nonprofit project looking to expand participation in fact-checking and protect the democratic process. See all fact briefs here.