Friday, Jun. 20, 2025
Is modern warming just a rebound from the Little Ice Age?
Global temperatures are warmer today than immediately before the Little Ice Age.
The Little Ice Age was a regional cooling phenomenon caused by internal forcings that mostly moved heat around within Earth’s climate system.
This event affected North America and Europe from 1350 to 1850. While external forcings like volcanic eruptions and decreased solar activity occurred, it was a massive export of Arctic sea ice into the North Atlantic by warm currents that disrupted ocean circulation and triggered prolonged regional cooling.
The end of the Little Ice Age coincided with rising solar output and industrial greenhouse gas emissions. However, since the 1950s, solar activity has declined while global temperatures have increased.
Today’s warming is driven by human emissions, increasing the amount of heat in the system rather than redistributing it.
The late 20th century is the warmest interval in the last 2,000 years for over 98% of the globe.
This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.
Sources
- University of Massachusetts Winter Is Coming: Researchers Uncover the Surprising Cause of the Little Ice Age
- Eos The Little Ice Age Wasn’t Global, but Current Climate Change Is
- Journal of Geophysical Research Global warming in the context of the Little Ice Age
- Salon What climate change deniers get totally wrong about the Little Ice Age
- Science Global Signatures and Dynamical Origins of the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly
- Nature No evidence for globally coherent warm and cold periods over the preindustrial Common Era
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Fact briefs are bite-sized, well-sourced explanations that offer clear "yes" or "no" answers to questions, confusions, and unsupported claims circulating online. They rely on publicly available data and documents, often from the original source. Fact briefs are written and published by Gigafact contributor publications.
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Skeptical Science is a non-profit science education organization. Our goal is to remove a roadblock to climate action by building public resilience against climate misinformation. We achieve this by publishing debunking of climate myths as well as providing resources for educators, communicators, scientists, and the general public. Skeptical Science was founded and is led by John Cook, a Senior Research Fellow with the Melbourne Centre for Behaviour Change at the University of Melbourne.
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