Skip to content

Sunday, Aug 16, 2026

Were Trump’s tariff revenues projected to eliminate the national debt?


no

Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs were projected to raise revenues that represented only a small fraction of the national debt. 

The tariffs raised $79 billion in 2024 and $264 billion in 2025. Before they were ruled unconstitutional by the Supreme Court, and the revenues were rebated, they were projected to reduce deficits by $4 trillion over the next decade, according to the Congressional Budget Office. 

The federal debt held by the public was $31.6 trillion in July 2026 and is projected to rise to over $54 trillion by 2036. Thus, $4 trillion is less than one-tenth of the projected publicly-held debt, even before rebated tariffs. 

This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.

About fact briefs

Fact briefs are bite-sized, well-sourced explanations that offer clear "yes" or "no" answers to questions, confusions, and unsupported claims circulating online. They rely on publicly available data and documents, often from the original source. Fact briefs are written and published by newsrooms in the Gigafact network.

See all fact briefs

EconoFact is a non-partisan publication designed to bring key facts and incisive analysis to the national debate on economic and social policies. Launched in January 2017, it is written by leading academic economists from across the country who belong to the EconoFact Network. It is published by the Edward R. Murrow Center for a Digital World at The Fletcher School at Tufts University.

Learn More

Be a Friend of facts

Help us fund more great fact briefs like this one.