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FACT BRIEF

Was an Ice Age predicted in the 1970s?

Saturday, April 6, 2024
By Sue Bin Park
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NO

Most peer-reviewed climate science papers published from 1965-1979 predicted global warming, not cooling.

While many popular media outlets claimed the approach of an ice age, a 2008 review of 1960s-70s climate science papers found that research stated otherwise. 62% predicted warming, 10% predicted cooling, and 28% did not take a stance.

There had been some notably cold Northern Hemisphere winters through this time. Scientists now understand that a leading cause of the cold conditions was aerosol smog pollution. Aerosols block sunshine, reducing the amount of energy reaching Earth's surface. They are also a serious health hazard. When they were reduced through regulation, global temperatures resumed their climb, from the 1970s onwards.

Today, 97% of climate scientists agree that global warming is real and largely caused by human carbon dioxide emissions.

See a full discussion of this at Skeptical Science
This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.
Sources
American Meteorological Society The Myth of the 1970s Global Cooling Scientific Consensus
RealClimate Four surface-station based estimates of global warming since 1880
IOP Science Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature
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Skeptical Science
Skeptical Science is a non-profit science education organization. Our goal is to remove a roadblock to climate action by building public resilience against climate misinformation. We achieve this by publishing debunking of climate myths as well as providing resources for educators, communicators, scientists, and the general public. Skeptical Science was founded and is led by John Cook, a Senior Research Fellow with the Melbourne Centre for Behaviour Change at the University of Melbourne.
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Fact briefs are short, credibly sourced summaries that offer “yes/no” answers in response to claims found online. They rely on publicly available, often primary source data and documents. Fact briefs are created by contributors to Gigafact —a nonprofit project looking to expand participation in fact-checking and protect the democratic process. See all fact briefs here.