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FACT BRIEF

Is Tammy Baldwin rated one of the most vulnerable U.S. senators up for election in 2024?

By Tom Kertscher
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YES

The Hill rated the seat held by U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin, D-Wis., as one of the eight most likely to flip from one party to the other in the 2024 elections, saying Wisconsin “remains a crucial battleground state with a propensity to swing wildly from one election to another.”

CNN rated the seat as one of the 10 most likely to flip, saying the competitiveness of Wisconsin “shouldn’t be underestimated.”

The Washington Examiner pegged the seat as one of the eight most likely to flip, saying Republicans benefit from the momentum of the November re-election of U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis.

Baldwin announced in April 2023 that she will run for a third term.

No Republican has officially announced a run against her. U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany in April bought two website domain names in preparation for a potential bid.

This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.
Sources
The Hill The eight Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024
CNN The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024
Washington Examiner Senate 2024: Here are the eight seats most likely to flip control
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Wisconsin Watch, the news arm of the nonpartisan, nonprofit Wisconsin Center for Investigative Journalism, increases the quality and quantity of investigative reporting in Wisconsin, while training current and future investigative journalists. Its work fosters an informed citizenry and strengthens democracy.
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Fact briefs are short, credibly sourced summaries that offer “yes/no” answers in response to claims found online. They rely on publicly available, often primary source data and documents. Fact briefs are created by contributors to Gigafact —a nonprofit project looking to expand participation in fact-checking and protect the democratic process. See all fact briefs here.