Thursday, Feb. 13, 2025
Is sea level rise exaggerated?
Sea levels are rising at an accelerating rate, not stagnating or decreasing.
Warming global temperatures cause land ice to melt and oceans to thermally expand, elevating sea levels. Since 1880, they’ve risen an estimated 8-9 inches (over 20 cm) based on historical data from coastal tide gauge stations.
In the 1990s, scientists began using satellites to measure sea levels. Since 1993, the global average sea level has risen 4 inches (10 cm).
These satellites send pulses to the ocean and measure the time it takes for the signal to return. Researchers account for factors like land height, resulting in highly accurate measurements with error margins of 1 millimeter. Short-term dips don’t contradict the overall rise, which is exceeding prior predictions.
Sea level rise has already submerged islands and atolls in places like The Solomon Islands and The Marshall Islands, while coasts worldwide have experienced flooding, infrastructure damage, and land loss.
This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.
Sources
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Is sea-level rise exaggerated?
- NASA Sea Level
- IPCC AR6: Changes in global mean sea level
- NOAA Is sea level rising?
About fact briefs
Fact briefs are bite-sized, well-sourced explanations that offer clear "yes" or "no" answers to questions, confusions, and unsupported claims circulating online. They rely on publicly available data and documents, often from the original source. Fact briefs are written and published by Gigafact contributor publications.
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Skeptical Science is a non-profit science education organization. Our goal is to remove a roadblock to climate action by building public resilience against climate misinformation. We achieve this by publishing debunking of climate myths as well as providing resources for educators, communicators, scientists, and the general public. Skeptical Science was founded and is led by John Cook, a Senior Research Fellow with the Melbourne Centre for Behaviour Change at the University of Melbourne.
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