Is recent global warming part of a natural cycle?

While natural cycles explain some historical periods of climate change, the current one is due to human activity.

Solar energy reaching the Earth varies regularly over thousands of years with "Milankovitch cycles" in the planet's orbital path, tilt, and wobble. As an example of "external forcing", they affect the total energy present in Earth's climate system.

But those cycles are in a cooling phase and cannot explain recent warming. Man made greenhouse gasses can.

Shorter-term cycles ("internal variability"), like the El Nino Southern Oscillation, merely move energy around within the climate system. In warm El Nino years, heat is released from the oceans to the atmosphere. In cooler La Nina years, the reverse occurs.

However, even La Nina years are getting warmer. 2022 was the warmest La Nina year on record and the 5th warmest year globally. This runs counter to natural cycles contributing to current global warming.