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FACT BRIEF

Is Nevada becoming a red state?

By Todd Butterworth
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NO

Nevada remains a purple state, somewhere between red (Republican) and blue (Democratic).

Over the last decade, the share of active Democratic and Republican voters has trended downward while the share of non-partisan voters has trended upward. Among active voters as of September 2022, Nevada has 592,903 (32.9%) Democrats, 542,761 (30.1%) Republicans, 530,893 (29.4%) nonpartisan and 137,366 with other party affiliations. It would require a significant change in voter registration trends for Nevada to be considered a safe red or blue state.

As recently as 2019, all of Nevada’s six statewide elected officers were Republicans. Currently, all but one are Democrats. Of Nevada’s six members of Congress, five are Democrats and one Republican. However, the two highest-profile election contests this year – governor and U.S. Senate– are both considered toss-ups. 

This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.
Sources
Nevada Secretary of State Voter Registration Statistics
Govtrack Nevada Senators, Representatives, and Congressional District Maps
FiveThirtyEight 2022 Senate Election Forecast
FiveThirtyEight 2022 Governors Forecast
ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTOR
The Nevada Independent
The Nevada Independent is a nonpartisan, nonprofit news and opinion website founded in 2017 by veteran political journalist and commentator Jon Ralston. The site and its supporting channels are focused on ethical, unbiased and transparent journalism. In general, we aim to gather and disseminate important public information and increase civic engagement. We are supported by corporate donations, memberships, event ticket sales and sponsorships and foundation grants. We disclose all our members and donors. Donors have no influence over our content, ever. The Nevada Independent is the dba for Nevada News Bureau, Inc., a 501(c)3 nonprofit founded in 2010 by Elizabeth Thompson, who now serves as one of The Nevada Independent's managing directors and its Editor.
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Fact briefs are short, credibly sourced summaries that offer “yes/no” answers in response to claims found online. They rely on publicly available, often primary source data and documents. Fact briefs are created by contributors to Gigafact —a nonprofit project looking to expand participation in fact-checking and protect the democratic process. See all fact briefs here.