Thursday, Jul. 8, 2021
Does the ‘Mike’s trick’ email from the ‘climategate’ controversy show that scientists were falsifying climate change data?
Climate change deniers used out-of-context quotes from stolen emails to incorrectly allege a “climategate” conspiracy that scientists were falsifying temperature data.
In one case, a scientist is misrepresented as saying that he “completed Mike’s nature trick” to “hide the decline.” These two phrases were dishonestly edited together from different parts of a sentence to fabricate suspicion. In reality, the original quote referred to two separate and legitimate practices. Mike’s trick is not a deception, but a trick of the trade. The “trick” involves plotting direct thermometer measurements in the same graph as proxy data from the past to show modern climate change in a long-term context.
“Hide the decline” refers not to a real temperature decline, but a decline in the reliability of some tree rings after 1960 as a temperature proxy.
Nine separate investigations exonerated the climate scientists.
This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.
Sources
- Yale Climategate: Anatomy of a public relations disaster
- John Cook Climategate and climate conspiracy theories
- NASA Vital Signs: Global temperature
- Penn State Investigation of climate scientist at Penn State complete (2010)
- UK Parliament House of Commons Science and Technology Committee: The disclosure of climate data from the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia (2010)
- Sir Muir Russell Final review of the University of East Anglia's climate emails (2010)
- Penn State Final investigation report involving Dr. Michael E. Mann (2010)
- Environmental Protection Agency EPA rejects claims of flawed climate science (2010)
- UK Government Energy and Climate Change Secretary: The disclosure of climate data from the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia
- Inspector General, US Department Of Commerce Inspector General letter to Sen. Inhofe on University of East Anglia emails
- National Science Foundation ‘Closeout memorandum’
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Skeptical Science is a non-profit science education organization. Our goal is to remove a roadblock to climate action by building public resilience against climate misinformation. We achieve this by publishing debunking of climate myths as well as providing resources for educators, communicators, scientists, and the general public. Skeptical Science was founded and is led by John Cook, a Senior Research Fellow with the Melbourne Centre for Behaviour Change at the University of Melbourne.
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