Can CO2 be ignored because it’s just a trace gas?
While carbon dioxide is a small part of the atmosphere, it has a large impact on climate as a greenhouse gas.
Nitrogen and oxygen make up around 99% of the atmosphere, but neither traps heat. Less than 0.05% of the atmosphere is made up of greenhouse gases, which do.
Without greenhouse gases, the Earth would be too cold to support most life, with average temperatures 2° F below zero (-18° C).
On the other hand, increasing greenhouse gas concentrations elevates temperatures. Human activities such as fossil fuel burning have raised CO2 concentrations from 280 parts per million in pre-industrial times to 424 parts per million in 2024. Over the same period, the planet has warmed 2° F (1.3° C) on average.
Climate scientists agree that emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gases are responsible for this observed rise in temperature despite their relatively low concentration in the atmosphere.