Saturday, Nov. 14, 2020
Is 2020 the first time Arizona has voted for a Democratic president since the 1950s?
Before Joe Biden's win in 2020, Arizonans had last chosen the Democratic presidential candidate in 1996, when Bill Clinton won reelection. Clinton's win was the first Democratic victory there since Harry Truman's in 1948.
Unlike the 1996 vote, the 2020 results may signal a more durable shift in the state's partisan alignment. The state also elected a second Democratic senator, Mark Kelly, after choosing Sen. Kyrsten Sinema in 2018.
Factors eroding Republican dominance include a fast-growing young Latino population that now accounts for nearly a quarter of Arizona voters, along with an influx of Democratic-leaning newcomers fleeing neighboring California's high cost of living. Cindy McCain, the widow of 2008 Republican presidential nominee Sen. John McCain, endorsed Biden.
This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.
Sources
- 270towin: Historical presidential elections
- Ballotpedia: 2020 Arizona election results
- AP: Arizona overview
- Pew Research: Where Latinos have the most eligible voters in the 2020 election
- AP: Cindy McCain endorses Biden for president in rebuke of Trump
- Washington Post: The real reason Arizona will turn blue this year
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