Tuesday, Feb. 25, 2025
Did all but three Minnesota counties shift right in the 2024 presidential election?
According to data from the Minnesota Secretary of State, all but three state counties shifted to the right in the 2024 presidential election. The exceptions were Cook, Lake and Lincoln counties.
This is evidenced by the margins in the 2024 election compared to 2020 – the difference in vote percentages between Democratic and Republican presidential candidates.
Though Harris and Walz won in Cook and Lake county and not in Lincoln, which had more votes for Trump and Vance, all three counties had an increase in vote percentages for the Democratic candidate. The remaining 84 counties had rightward shifting margins.
While most of the shifts weren’t large enough to change the party that won the county, Trump flipped four counties in Minnesota that Biden won in 2020: Blue Earth, Nicollet, Winona and Carlton.
Harris still won Minnesota by a 4-point margin while Klobuchar won by a stronger 16-point margin.
This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.
Sources
- Michael Nolan: Calculations of Margins, 2020 compared to 2024
- Michael Nolan: MN County General Election Percentages 2020, 2024
- Office of the Minnesota Secretary of State: Unofficial Results Tuesday, November 5, 2024
- Office of the Minnesota Secretary of State: Unofficial Results Tuesday, November 3, 2020
- Ballotpedia: Margin-of-Victory (MOV)
- Politico: 2024 Presidential Election Results - Minnesota
- Politico: 2020 Presidential Election Results - Minnesota
- Politico: Amy Klobuchar wins Minnesota Senate seat
About fact briefs
Fact briefs are bite-sized, well-sourced explanations that offer clear "yes" or "no" answers to questions, confusions, and unsupported claims circulating online. They rely on publicly available data and documents, often from the original source. Fact briefs are written and published by Gigafact contributor publications.
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