Tuesday, Aug. 19, 2025
Are surface temperature records reliable?
Surface temperature records are consistent and have been confirmed by multiple independent analyses.
Measurements come from over 30,000 stations worldwide, with around 7,000 having long, continuous monthly records. Scientists adjust for known local anomalies such as urban heat islands by comparing urban and rural trends and accounting for differences.
Allegations in 2009 that poorly located U.S. stations skewed data were tested by NOAA, which found those sites actually read slightly cooler on average.
The independent Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) study, led by a former climate skeptic, merged global datasets and concluded that the warming trend is unaffected by stations’ local conditions and nearly identical to NASA and NOAA records.
Temperature measurements are corroborated by satellites, ocean data, melting ice, and shifting ecosystems, all showing the same warming trend. No credible analysis has found that site issues or adjustments undermine the global record.
This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.
Sources
- Skeptical Science Understanding adjustments to temperature data
- NASA GISS Surface Temperature Analysis (v4)
- Geoscience Data Journal The international surface temperature initiative global land surface databank: monthly temperature data release description and methods
- Skeptical Science Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature Study: “The effect of urban heating on the global trends is nearly negligible”
- NOAA On the reliability of the U.S. surface temperature record
- Carbon Brief Explainer: How data adjustments affect global temperature records
About fact briefs
Fact briefs are bite-sized, well-sourced explanations that offer clear "yes" or "no" answers to questions, confusions, and unsupported claims circulating online. They rely on publicly available data and documents, often from the original source. Fact briefs are written and published by Gigafact contributor publications.
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Skeptical Science is a non-profit science education organization. Our goal is to remove a roadblock to climate action by building public resilience against climate misinformation. We achieve this by publishing debunking of climate myths as well as providing resources for educators, communicators, scientists, and the general public. Skeptical Science was founded and is led by John Cook, a Senior Research Fellow with the Melbourne Centre for Behaviour Change at the University of Melbourne.
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